The home ground is important factor, especially where the goal average is low.

Cagliari will fight to confirm their own spot in the Serie A and this achievement need a surprise win sometimes.

The visitors go for the Champions League spot, so they need to beat the lower rank team at home and at away, too.

Leipzig is the worst German team in this campaign, they suffered many loss by 1 goals and SCP beat to Man. City with Amorim, after they missed the right track, but can win the matchup vs unmotivate rival.

Some top player from European leagues sign to the home team, they are favorites on many games, especially at home.

Leipzig offense find the right track, but the defense is disaster. 4-5 goals are possible scenario.

After the cup competition the domestic league will continue with English weeks. More games, more chance to see over.

Honestly, Idk why the hosts are favorite here. Premier League mid strong teams are better than any Ligue 1 team, just check the PSG season in UCL...

Atalanta lost against Napoli, but they scored twice, so the offense efficiency is better than average teams like the visitors.

Slovan is not factor in the top football. Stuttgart have good form.